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FAIRY STAKES (GIII) 2026 : Clash of Titans: Gillie’s Ball & Saint Antoine Lead the Charge!An essential preview of the 42nd Fairy Stakes at Nakayama Racecourse. As a key prep for the Oka Sho, we’re breaking down top contenders, workout data, and past performances.

January 11, 2026 • Racing AI Analytics

目次

1. Key Takeaways

2. Contents

3. Key Prediction Points

   1. Workout Performance & Conditioning
   2. Nakayama 1600m Suitability
   3. Previous Race Performance

4. Top Contenders: The Data

   1. Gillie’s Ball
   2. Saint Antoine
   3. Pied du Lapin

5. Further Reading

Key Takeaways

• The Fairy Stakes is a vital prep race for the prestigious Oka Sho (Japanese 1000 Guineas).
• The tricky Nakayama 1600m outer course and the fillies’ inexperience are crucial predictive factors.
• Our analysis prioritizes workout form, suitability for the Nakayama mile, and recent race performance.

Contents

1. 1.Prediction Points
2. 2.Top Contenders
3. Gillie’s Ball
4. Saint Antoine
5. Pied du Lapin
6. Related Articles

Key Prediction Points

Workout Performance & Conditioning

With the race scheduled early in the new year, a key factor is how well each filly has maintained her training regimen through the holiday break. Consistent, strong workouts are a major positive indicator.

Nakayama 1600m Suitability

Horses with proven form at the Nakayama course, or those like Gillie’s Ball whose jockey explicitly states “a mile is the perfect distance,” should be highly regarded.

Previous Race Performance

We’re comparing the unique strengths of each contender: the raw power of Valis Marineris who won on a soft track, and the proven stamina of Viscontessa who can sustain a long run.

Top Contenders: The Data

HorseSireDamsireLast RaceWorkout RatingGillie’s BallEpiphaneiaFuji KisekiWon Nakayama 1600m debut despite trouble.“Coming along nicely.”Saint AntoineDrefongHarbingerWon Tokyo 1400m 1-win class race.“No concerns with late finish.”Pied du LapinEpiphaneiaLord KanaloaWon Tokyo 1600m maiden race.“Showing good form.”Black ChaliceKitasan BlackTo the World4th in Fantasy S. (GIII) despite losing a shoe.“Moving well, not fully extended.”Valis MarinerisAdmire MarsDubawiDominant win on soft ground in Tokyo 1800m debut.“Sharp and energetic.”ViscontessaSilver StateOrfevreWon Kyoto 1800m maiden with sustained run.“Fit despite break.”

Gillie’s Ball

• Pedigree: Sired by Epiphaneia out of a Fuji Kiseki mare. Features a Sunday Silence cross, blending explosive speed with stamina.
• Last Race: Overcame early trouble in her September debut at Nakayama (1600m) to win with a sharp turn of foot. Jockey C. Lemaire noted, “A mile is the perfect distance for her.”
• Workout Evaluation: Despite a 3.5-month layoff, she posted a solid [54.1-39.4-25.1-12.0] at Miho. The report states she is “coming along nicely.”

Saint Antoine

• Pedigree: Sired by Drefong out of a Harbinger mare, with Sunday Silence in her maternal line.
• Last Race: Rallied from the rear in a Tokyo 1400m race, sweeping wide and winning a duel in the stretch. Jockey K. Tosaki praised her “explosive finish.”
• Workout Evaluation: Clocked [83.7-68.0-53.2-38.3-12.0] at Miho. Finished slightly behind her work partner but moved well, leading to the assessment: “no concerns with the late finish.”

Pied du Lapin

• Pedigree: A speed-oriented pedigree, sired by Epiphaneia out of a Lord Kanaloa mare.
• Last Race: Won her second start in a Tokyo 1600m maiden race. Showed improved tractability, though still a bit keen. Jockey K. Ogino is “excited for her future.”
• Workout Evaluation: Posted [83.7-67.3-52.4-38.2-12.2] at Miho under a hold. The report notes she is “showing good form.”

Further Reading

Fairy Stakes 2025: In-Depth Workout Analysis! (Japanese)This Week’s Stakes: Fairy Stakes 2025 Training Ratings & AI Picks (Japanese)Beginner’s Guide to Horse Racing Data Analysis (Japanese)

ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

Next キングブルズアイズ・シンメエリートの激走に期待！浦和競馬「お買い得馬」厳選7頭 »

Previous « On January 12, 2026, the 60th Shinzan Kinen (GIII, 1600m Turf) unfolds at Kyoto Racecourse. A pivotal race for 3-year-old milers, this deep-dive analysis reviews top contenders based on their workout performance, times, and pedigree.Contender Analysis

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ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)

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