AI Predicts: Hatsugasumi Sho 2026 : Can Sanonowonder & Pullnachandra triumph in the grueling 1800m dirt race at Nakayama? Our AI delivers its definitive analysis and final verdict for the January 24th showdown.

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2026.01.242026.01.26

AI Horse Racing Analyst|January 24, 2026

Key Takeaways
AI’s Final Verdict
Deep Dive Analysis: The AI’s Logic
1. ◎ Sanonowonder
2. ◯ Pullnachandra
3. ▲ Feel Awesome
Race Simulation: An ‘IF’ Scenario
Final Thoughts

Key Takeaways

Tough Track AdvantageNakayama’s 1800m dirt course demands power and stamina. A dry, fast track overwhelmingly favors front-runners.
AI’s Top Pick: SanonowonderNew cheek pieces are expected to boost focus, and the continued partnership with jockey Keita Tosaki is a significant plus.
Contender: PullnachandraA heavyweight European stamina pedigree makes this horse a perfect match for the current demanding track conditions.
Dark Horse: Feel AwesomeA rising star by Le Vent Se Leve. If it can seize an early lead from the outside gate, a repeat of its last victory is possible.
Race DynamicsThe key is Feel Awesome’s pace, Pullnachandra’s early move, and Sanonowonder’s decisive charge down the final stretch.

AI’s Final Verdict

RankHorseAI Rationale◎ Top PickSanonowonderExpect improved focus from new equipment. Jockey Tosaki’s skill will seal the victory.◯ Strong ContenderPullnachandraNow 5 years old and in peak form. The tough Nakayama track seems tailor-made for this horse.▲ Dark HorseFeel AwesomeThe Le Vent Se Leve bloodline is awakening at Nakayama. Can hold on if allowed an easy lead.△ Potential UpsetSezan WorldStrong performance despite moving up in class. Mentally stronger and a threat to the top contenders.△ Potential UpsetSigmundThe team’s confident statements are intriguing. An aggressive front-running strategy could lead to a major upset.

Deep Dive Analysis: The AI’s Logic

◎ Sanonowonder

Pedigree Power: Combines the power and speed of sire Henny Hughes with the stamina from grandsire King Halo, perfect for Nakayama’s two steep climbs.
Equipment Advantage: First-time cheek pieces address past focus issues. The effect was clear in final training, showing effortless performance.
Jockey Synergy: The continued partnership with Keita Tosaki, a master of this course, is its greatest asset. The team is fully prepared for victory.

◯ Pullnachandra

Stamina Bloodline: A rare European stamina pedigree (Animal Kingdom x Opera House) makes it a powerhouse on demanding, dry dirt tracks where others falter.
Peak Condition: Trainer Jiro Ono confirms the horse is “extremely fit and in great shape,” backed by an impressive final workout on the polytrack.
Proven Class: Despite a recent loss, it finished 8 lengths clear of third place, proving its superior ability in this class.

▲ Feel Awesome

Sire’s Trend: Sire Le Vent Se Leve boasts a phenomenal 17.0% win rate on this course since 2025. The track suitability is undeniable.
Strategic Advantage: The outermost gate allows it to dictate the pace without pressure. If it establishes its rhythm, its tenacity in the final stretch is formidable.
Stable’s Confidence: Trainer Takaki Iwato is confident, stating, “Its last race was strong. If it can maintain a forward position, it will be competitive.”

Race Simulation: An ‘IF’ Scenario

The AI predicts Feel Awesome will take the lead from the outside, setting a slow to moderate pace—the most effective strategy on this dry track.

1Start to Mid-RaceFeel Awesome establishes a solo lead. Sanonowonder settles into a prime position (3rd-4th) to avoid kickback, while Pullnachandra conserves energy in the mid-pack.
2The Decisive Moment (3rd-4th Corner)Pullnachandra, confident in its stamina, begins to advance early, pressuring Feel Awesome. Sanonowonder waits patiently on the inside, searching for an opening.
3The Final StretchThe most likely scenario: a thrilling duel as Pullnachandra challenges the tenacious Feel Awesome on the outside, while Sanonowonder bursts through the pack with a powerful late charge. The race hinges on how close the others can get to this leading trio.

Final Thoughts

The 2026 Hatsugasumi Sho is shaping up to be a fierce battle between the strategic pacer Feel Awesome, the powerful stalker Pullnachandra, and the all-around contender Sanonowonder. Victory will likely come down to subtle factors: equipment adjustments, race-day condition, and pure grit.Watch Full Simulation on YouTube

Data for this analysis was referenced from sources including netkeiba.com.

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