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Categories: 競馬を学ぶ
【フェアリーS 2026予想】サンアントワーヌ・トワニ・ピエドゥラパンら有力馬を分析！予想のポイントと血統傾向
The Fairy Stakes (GIII), scheduled for January 11, 2026, at Nakayama Racecourse, is a pivotal race for three-year-old fillies, often providing crucial insights into the contenders for the prestigious Sakura Sho (Japanese 1000 Guineas). This highly anticipated event is particularly challenging due to the tricky Nakayama mile course and the relative inexperience of many participants. Success often hinges on a horse’s pedigree suitability and their final pre-race training condition. This article provides a detailed analysis of key contenders such as San Antoine, Towani, and Pied de Lapin, alongside essential handicapping tips and bloodline trends to watch.
目次
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Key Takeaways from This Article
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Table of Contents
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Introduction: The Fairy Stakes (GIII) – A Gateway for 3-Year-Old Fillies
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Featured Horse Analysis: Pedigree and Previous Race Data
- San Antoine (Predicted Odds: 1st Favorite)
- Pied de Lapin (Predicted Odds: 2nd Favorite)
- Black Chalice (Predicted Odds: 3rd Favorite)
- Towani (Predicted Odds: 5th Favorite)
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Fairy Stakes 2026: Key Handicapping Points
- Point ①: Aptitude for Nakayama Turf 1600m (Outer Course)
- Point ②: Dark Horse Candidates Based on Training
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【Final Verdict】Selections and Best Bets Here
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関連ガイド
Key Takeaways from This Article
- The Fairy Stakes (GIII) serves as a vital gateway for three-year-old fillies on the path to the Sakura Sho.
- The challenging Nakayama mile course demands careful consideration of bloodline aptitude and the latest training indications for successful predictions.
- San Antoine, Pied de Lapin, Black Chalice, and Towani are highlighted as the primary contenders for this race.
- Special attention should be paid to suitability for the Nakayama Turf 1600m (outer course) under the ‘C’ course setting, and to dark horse candidates showing exceptional training.
Table of Contents
- Introduction: The Fairy Stakes (GIII) – A Gateway for 3-Year-Old Fillies
- Featured Horse Analysis: Pedigree and Previous Race Data
- San Antoine (Predicted Odds: 1st Favorite)
- Pied de Lapin (Predicted Odds: 2nd Favorite)
- Black Chalice (Predicted Odds: 3rd Favorite)
- Towani (Predicted Odds: 5th Favorite)
- Fairy Stakes 2026: Key Handicapping Points
- Point ①: Aptitude for Nakayama Turf 1600m (Outer Course)
- Point ②: Dark Horse Candidates Based on Training
- 【Final Verdict】Selections and Best Bets Here
Introduction: The Fairy Stakes (GIII) – A Gateway for 3-Year-Old Fillies
On Sunday, January 11, 2026, Nakayama Racecourse will host the 11th race, the Fairy Stakes (GIII), contested over 1600m on the outer turf course. This race is an indispensable proving ground for three-year-old fillies vying for a spot in the Sakura Sho classic. Given the unique demands of the challenging Nakayama mile and the relative inexperience of the competitors, both the horses’ pedigree suitability and their recent training performance emerge as critical factors for accurate handicapping.
Featured Horse Analysis: Pedigree and Previous Race Data
From the current field, we’ve meticulously selected and analyzed the most promising contenders for this race:
San Antoine (Predicted Odds: 1st Favorite)
- Sire: Duramente
- Dam: San Thille (by Harbinger)
- Previous Race: 2-Year-Old Allowance (Tokyo, Turf 1400m) – 1st Place
Despite a 4th place finish in the Niigata Two-Year-Old Stakes (GIII), San Antoine demonstrated remarkable ability in her previous 1-win class race, securing a dominant victory with an incredible final furlong time of 32.7 seconds. Her training progress is equally impressive: on December 31, she showed effortless agility on the Miho Woodchip course, and on December 28, she clocked a sharp 12.1 seconds in her final furlong on the uphill course, indicating she’s maintaining peak condition.
Pied de Lapin (Predicted Odds: 2nd Favorite)
- Sire: Epiphaneia
- Dam: Trois Etoiles (by Lord Kanaloa)
- Previous Race: 2-Year-Old Maiden (Tokyo, Turf 1600m) – 1st Place
Pied de Lapin boasts an impressive pedigree; her dam, Trois Etoiles, was a lightning-fast runner who set a Japanese record in the Keisei Hai Autumn Handicap. With Epiphaneia as her sire, her bloodline suggests a strong aptitude for the Nakayama mile course.
Her training reports are highly encouraging: on January 4, she was ridden strongly on the Miho Woodchip course, recording impressive splits of 67.7-51.3-36.7-11.6. Coupled with an “agile movement” assessment on December 31, she appears to be in prime condition for this challenge.
Black Chalice (Predicted Odds: 3rd Favorite)
- Sire: Kitasan Black
- Dam: Gold Chalice (by To the World)
- Previous Race: Fantasy Stakes (GIII) – 4th Place
Black Chalice showed her class by finishing a commendable 4th in the Grade III Fantasy Stakes. Notably, she ran a smooth race despite losing a shoe in her last outing. Her latest training session on January 3 saw her breezing effortlessly on the Ritto CW course, marking splits of 70.9-55.3-39.8-12.3, suggesting she’s nearing top form.
Towani (Predicted Odds: 5th Favorite)
- Sire: Rulership
- Dam: Initial Double (by War Emblem)
- Previous Race: Keio Hai Nisai Stakes (GII) – 3rd Place
Towani’s performance in the Keio Hai Nisai Stakes (GII) was outstanding, where she secured a 3rd place finish with the fastest final furlong among her competitors, establishing her as one of the most accomplished horses in this field. She is also a half-sister to Anegohada. Her training on December 31 on the Miho uphill course was rated as “moving briskly,” with a final furlong of 12.7 seconds, indicating she’s poised for another strong run.
Fairy Stakes 2026: Key Handicapping Points
Point ①: Aptitude for Nakayama Turf 1600m (Outer Course)
The race will be contested on the “C Course” configuration. The Nakayama mile is notoriously tricky, with a short run to the first corner, making gate draw and early positioning absolutely vital. It’s crucial to observe the latest pre-race indicators, as horses that might have been assessed as “lacking stretch power” in a previous interview, like Truscon Garden, can show significant improvement, being rated as “elevated by this final work” (12/31 training report). These late surges in form can be game-changers.
Point ②: Dark Horse Candidates Based on Training
Never overlook horses with longer odds that are showing exceptional form in training:
- Gilliesball: Displayed a “powerful stride” on the Miho Woodchip course on December 31, outworking its stablemate in a joint gallop.
- Macallan: On January 3, Macallan was reported “lively and fresh” on the Miho Woodchip course, suggesting sustained good condition.
【Final Verdict】Selections and Best Bets Here
Our comprehensive final predictions, including top selections and betting recommendations, are available at the link below, integrating detailed analysis of training, gate draw, and pedigree. Don’t miss out on our expert insights!
Check the AI and Pro’s Final Verdict →
関連ガイド
- 競馬予想ガイド
- 重賞ガイド
- 地方競馬ガイド
ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)
データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。
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ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)
10か月 ago
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