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Categories: 注目ニュース
社台SSの種付け料と放出種牡馬予想：オルフェーヴル、ハービンジャー、サトノクラウン、ダノンキングリー、コントレイルなどの動向は？
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目次
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Shadai Stallion Station: Hot Debates Surround 2026 Breeding Fees and Stallion Releases!
- Anticipating Announcement Dates and Stallion Movements
- Key New Stallion Prospects and Breeding Fee Adjustments
- Summary: 2026 Shadai Stallion Station Outlook
Shadai Stallion Station: Hot Debates Surround 2026 Breeding Fees and Stallion Releases!
Each year, the announcement of breeding fees and the movement of stallions at Shadai Stallion Station captivates horse racing fans. As the season approaches, internet forums are buzzing with active predictions. This article compiles insights from a recent discussion thread, offering an exclusive look into what the next breeding season might hold for Shadai SS.
Anticipating Announcement Dates and Stallion Movements
Traditionally, Shadai SS releases its breeding fees and announces any departing stallions after the Japan Derby (JC). This year, anticipated retirements, including Shahryar and Poetic Flair, along with Harbinger’s expected move to private maintenance, are projected to create vacancies in the stallion barns. However, with expectations of fewer new stallion introductions, some speculate that stallion releases might be limited, or even non-existent.
Several stallions have been mentioned as potential release candidates, including Harbinger (due to age), Satono Crown (attributed to performance), Orfevre (also due to performance concerns), Danon Kingly, and Rey de Oro. Yet, for Orfevre, there’s a strong consensus that “as a Triple Crown winner and a cornerstone of the Shadai Group,” he should be “cared for at Shadai SS as a功労馬 (honorary veteran).” This sentiment suggests his release is highly unlikely.
- Harbinger: Due to his age, retirement or a transition to private maintenance is considered highly probable.
- Satono Crown: While facing criticism for his progeny’s performance, some argue he has “performed quite well.” The existence of his syndicate raises questions about how much Satomi’s owner’s intentions will influence his future.
- Orfevre: Given his esteemed status as a Triple Crown winner and the challenges associated with his temperament, it is widely believed he will remain at Shadai SS as an honorary veteran for his remaining years.
- Danon Kingly: Subject to strong criticism, with many voices calling for his immediate release. His departure is widely anticipated.
- Rey de Oro: Although his performance has improved from its lowest point, it’s still deemed insufficient for his breeding fee. Suggestions indicate that without a price reduction, he won’t attract enough mares, diminishing his strategic value at Shadai.
Key New Stallion Prospects and Breeding Fee Adjustments
Next year’s potential star new stallions include Tastiera, Danon Decile, Jantar Mantar, and Forever Young. Specifically for Tastiera, despite being a Derby winner, opinions are divided; while some hope for his entry into Shadai SS, others express skepticism, stating he “doesn’t look like a horse worthy of joining Shadai.” There are also predictions that Danon Decile and Jantar Mantar might enter stud after their four-year-old season, depending on their future race results.
Regarding breeding fee adjustments, many foresee increases for Kitasan Black and Equinox, while Kizuna, Contrail, and Suave Richard are predicted to see decreases.
- Kitasan Black: Despite some concerns about his two-year-old generation’s performance, strong arguments for an increase or status quo remain, citing his “best-ever three-year-old average” and “flying off the shelves at sales.”
- Equinox: An increase in his fee is possible, especially if his progeny perform well.
- Kizuna: While a leading sire, his age suggests his fee might remain stable or slightly decrease to manage his book size, or even see a more significant reduction.
- Contrail: Leading the freshman sire standings, he is expected to maintain his fee or see a slight increase. While some predict a decrease, counter-arguments state there is “no basis for a reduction.”
- Suave Richard: Despite initial success, concerns over his performance in subsequent years and high initial breeding fees have led to widespread predictions of a fee decrease.
Summary: 2026 Shadai Stallion Station Outlook
This year’s outlook for Shadai SS suggests that while retirements will create barn vacancies, a limited introduction of new stallions means that widespread releases are unlikely. As for breeding fees, popular sires like Kitasan Black and Equinox are expected to maintain or increase their fees, while stallions whose performance hasn’t met expectations may see reductions. Danon Kingly, in particular, is widely expected to be released, and his future movements will be keenly watched.
The final announcements will be made after the Japan Derby, and we hope this discussion helps deepen your enjoyment of the upcoming racing season.
Reference URL: Shadai SS Breeding Fees and Released Stallion Predictions
ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)
データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。
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ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)
11か月 ago
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