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Categories: 最新レース予想
【BCマイル 2025 予想】ノータブルスピーチ雪辱へ！海外ブックメーカー最新オッズと有力馬徹底分析
Welcome to our comprehensive preview of the 2025 Breeders’ Cup Mile at Del Mar Racetrack! This article delves into thorough analysis of the latest odds from leading international bookmakers and the form of top contenders. Our spotlight is firmly on European champion Notable Speech, who aims to avenge last year’s defeat. We also provide in-depth evaluations of formidable European three-year-olds, promising American challengers, and even guidance on how to bet on these global superstars from Japan.
目次
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Key Insights: 2025 Breeders’ Cup Mile Predictions
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2025 Breeders’ Cup Mile: Final Predictions, Runners, and Latest Odds
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In-Depth Analysis: Key Contenders for the 2025 Breeders’ Cup Mile
- ◎ Our Top Pick: Notable Speech – The Return of a Champion
- ◯ Our Second Pick: The Lion In Winter – Europe’s Formidable Three-Year-Old Contender
- ▲ Our Third Pick: Sahlan – Another Potent European Three-Year-Old Threat
- △ Dark Horse Contenders: Potential Upsetters
- Other Noteworthy Contenders
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Leading International Bookmaker Odds: In-Depth Comparison and Trend Analysis for the 2025 BC Mile
- 2025 Breeders’ Cup Mile Major Bookmaker Odds Comparison Table
- Odds Trend Analysis
Key Insights: 2025 Breeders’ Cup Mile Predictions
- Our top selection (◎) is European champion Notable Speech, determined to turn the tables after last year.
- Strong contenders (◯ & ▲) include the highly competitive European three-year-olds, The Lion In Winter and Sahlan, who are exceptionally close in ability.
- Leading international bookmakers unanimously position Notable Speech as the undisputed favorite.
- Keep a keen eye on dark horses with proven course suitability, such as the undefeated American runner at Del Mar Racetrack and last year’s runner-up.
2025 Breeders’ Cup Mile: Final Predictions, Runners, and Latest Odds
Here, we present our definitive predictions based on extensive data analysis, alongside the Morning Line Odds (M/L Odds) released by major international media outlets. Get ready to meet the contenders for horse racing’s ultimate mile championship!
Gate Post No. Horse Name Selection M/L Odds Pro Prediction Score (Confidence Rating) 1 1 One Stripe 30-1 0% 2 2 Notable Speech ◎ 5-2 (3.5x) 43% 3 3 Sahlan ▲ 6-1 (7.0x) 13% 4 4 The Lion In Winter ◯ 6-1 (7.0x) 5% 5 5 Program Trading △ 10-1 (11.0x) 0% 6 6 Grand Oriente 30-1 – 7 7 Johannes 8-1 (9.0x) 8% 8 8 Formidable Man 10-1 (11.0x) 2% 9 9 Argine 20-1 (21.0x) 10% 10 10 Jonquil △ 10-1 (11.0x) – 11 11 Rhetorical 5-1 (6.0x) 18% 12 12 Gas Me Up 30-1 – 13 13 Killer T 20-1 (21.0x) 0%
※M/L Odds are referenced from those announced by major international media outlets.
In-Depth Analysis: Key Contenders for the 2025 Breeders’ Cup Mile
This race brings together the world’s elite milers. Based on prevailing sentiment from global racing media, we’ve meticulously analyzed the most significant contenders that demand your attention.
◎ Our Top Pick: Notable Speech – The Return of a Champion
Our top selection (◎) is none other than Notable Speech, owned by Godolphin and expertly trained by the esteemed Charlie Appleby. This colt’s class is undeniable, having triumphed in the 2024 English 2000 Guineas (G1) and Sussex Stakes (G1), placing him firmly among the generation’s elite. Last year, despite starting as the favorite in the Breeders’ Cup Mile, he finished third.
Trainer Appleby attributed the defeat to a “lack of experience with America’s unique tight, undulating courses.” To overcome this, Notable Speech specifically targeted Canada’s Woodbine Mile (G1) as a prep race this year, a track known for its similar course configuration to Del Mar. The strategy, “to reacquaint him with American-style cornering,” paid off handsomely as he dominated the race. With prior experience on the stage and a clear understanding of the previous year’s shortcomings, Notable Speech is now perfectly poised for a triumphant return to the winner’s circle.
◯ Our Second Pick: The Lion In Winter – Europe’s Formidable Three-Year-Old Contender
Our strong contender (◯) from the three-year-old ranks is The Lion In Winter, a formidable talent from Aidan O’Brien’s renowned stable. After a narrow third-place finish to Sahlan in the Prix du Moulin de Longchamp (G1), he bounced back with an excellent second-place performance against a strong field in the English Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (G1), solidifying his G1 capabilities.
His exceptional race intelligence and versatility – capable of leading or coming from behind – are his greatest assets. Under the masterful guidance of Aidan O’Brien, who holds the record for the most Breeders’ Cup victories, The Lion In Winter has every chance of overcoming the seasoned older horses and claiming victory.
▲ Our Third Pick: Sahlan – Another Potent European Three-Year-Old Threat
Also a key player (▲) from Europe’s three-year-old crop is Sahlan, trained by Francis-Henri Graffard. In his last outing, the Prix du Moulin de Longchamp (G1), he demonstrated his immense potential by prevailing in a thrilling finish, narrowly defeating The Lion In Winter and others. With a relatively light career and plenty of untapped potential, Sahlan possesses an exciting scope for improvement, making him one of the most intriguing runners in the field.
The form between these two impressive three-year-olds is clear from the Prix du Moulin de Longchamp results, where the margins were minuscule. Their abilities are remarkably similar, and the outcome could easily be reversed depending on the race dynamics. Both horses warrant high regard and serious consideration.
△ Dark Horse Contenders: Potential Upsetters
For those looking for value, our dark horse selections (△) include Program Trading from top American trainer Chad Brown’s barn, and the promising three-year-old Jonquil.
- Program Trading: With G1-level form, including a second-place finish in the Coolmore Turf Mile (G1), his credentials are solid. Horses managed by trainer Chad Brown, a multiple Breeders’ Cup winner, are always dangerous and command respect.
- Jonquil: This European three-year-old impressed with a third-place finish in the Keeneland Turf Mile (G1). He possesses the talent to challenge the top favorites and could spring a surprise.
Other Noteworthy Contenders
- Rhetorical: A serious contender who recently won the Coolmore Turf Mile (G1) and is currently on an impressive four-race winning streak. With five wins from six starts, his potential is clearly unexposed, and his momentum is undeniable.
- Johannes: Last year’s Breeders’ Cup Mile runner-up. Despite a delayed start to the season due to injury, he has returned strongly, winning the prep City of Hope Mile (G2) for the second consecutive year. He aims for revenge on the same successful schedule.
- Formidable Man: Known as the “Emperor of Del Mar,” he boasts an unblemished record of six wins from six starts on the turf course at the host venue. However, a significant concern is that his regular jockey has opted to ride Johannes, raising questions about his chances.
- Argine: A five-year-old mare by Lord Kanaloa, representing Japan. She will be ridden by the legendary L. Dettori. However, some international media have noted her lack of wins above G3 level, finding other horses more appealing. It remains to be seen how she will fare against this caliber of global competition.
Leading International Bookmaker Odds: In-Depth Comparison and Trend Analysis for the 2025 BC Mile
Analyzing odds from international bookmakers is crucial for understanding the global consensus on each horse’s chances. Here, we compare the odds from several leading bookmakers as of late October and analyze the prevailing trends.
2025 Breeders’ Cup Mile Major Bookmaker Odds Comparison Table
Horse Bet365 FanDuel Betfair DK Horse Paddy Power Ladbrokes Coral William Hill Betfred TwinSpires Sky Bet Notable Speech 3.0 3.5 N/A 3.5 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.0 3.5 3.0 Sahlan 8.0 7.0 N/A 7.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 5.5 7.0 7.0 The Lion In Winter 6.0 7.0 N/A 7.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.0 7.0 6.0 Johannes 9.0 9.0 N/A 9.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 9.0 9.0 Formidable Man 9.0 11.0 N/A 11.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 11.0 9.0 Rhetorical 9.0 6.0 N/A 6.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 9.5 6.0 9.0 Program Trading 11.0 11.0 N/A N/A 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 N/A 11.0 Jonquil 13.0 N/A N/A 11.0 15.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 11.0 13.0 Argine 17.0 N/A N/A 21.0 15.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 15.0 21.0 17.0
Note: Odds are as of late October 2025 and are subject to change.
Odds Trend Analysis
- The Consensus Favorite:
As clearly demonstrated by the table, Notable Speech is consistently backed as the solid favorite across virtually all bookmakers. His odds are tightly concentrated between 3.0x and 3.5x, aligning perfectly with the race’s Morning Line Odds (5-2 = 3.5x). This strong global support reflects high confidence in his strategic preparation and immense talent to atone for last year’s defeat. - The Crowded Second Tier:
The next tier of contenders sees a tight battle for second-favoritism, primarily featuring the European three-year-olds, Sahlan and The Lion In Winter. Their odds hover around the 6.0x to 8.0x mark, indicating bookmakers view them as highly competitive and very difficult to separate. This suggests that slight improvements or specific race conditions could easily tip the balance between them.
ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)
データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。
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ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)
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