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【みやこS 2025 追い切り評価】ペリエール万全！ラムジェット、デルマソトガケも好仕上がり！全15頭の最終調教を徹底分析

Analysis by AI

As the crucial stepping stone to the Champions Cup (GI), the “Miyako Stakes 2025” demands meticulous scrutiny of its final trackwork. With proven contenders like Derma Sotogake and Ramjet returning from layoffs, accurately assessing each horse’s current condition is paramount for successful wagering. This in-depth article meticulously analyzes the training data of all 15 entries, providing a detailed breakdown of their readiness through a 6-stage evaluation system (S to C), highlighting the standout preparations.

目次

  1. Miyako Stakes 2025: Key Insights from Final Trackwork

  2. Featured Contenders: An In-Depth Final Trackwork Analysis

    1. Perriere: Building on Elm Stakes Dominance with Blazing South Woodchip Workout
    2. Ramjet: “Excellent Condition” Post-Korea Trip, Sharp Finish on E-Course
    3. Derma Sotogake: “Powerful Stride” Signals Comeback After Long Layoff
    4. Lord Aronne: Stable Special! Trainer Shi’i Confirms “Developing Power”

  3. 【Miyako Stakes 2025】All 15 Entries: Final Trackwork Evaluation Summary Table

  4. In-Depth Analysis: Decoding Each Horse’s Condition from Trackwork

    1. 【S-Rated】Unquestionably Supreme: A Solo Standout
    2. 【A+ Rated】Confirmed Improvement Backed by Stable Comments
    3. 【A-Rated】Asserting Strong Form for GI Aspirations
    4. 【B+ Rated】Threatening the Top Contenders with Solid Preparation
    5. 【B-Rated】Steady Progress, Not to Be Underestimated
    6. 【C-Rated】Lingering Questions… Assessment Needed

  5. Final Thoughts: Your Winning Edge Awaits on Netkeiba

Miyako Stakes 2025: Key Insights from Final Trackwork

Featured Contenders: An In-Depth Final Trackwork Analysis

We delve deep into the training content and related data for the four most prominent horses, who are expected to be among the top favorites.

Perriere: Building on Elm Stakes Dominance with Blazing South Woodchip Workout

Perriere, fresh off a commanding victory in the Elm Stakes (GIII), proves that win was no fluke. Jockey Daisuke Sasaki’s post-race comment, “I already felt he was adept at tight turns from trackwork, and that [excerpt] revealed his strong point,” clearly indicates a direct correlation between his training and race performance. His excellent form has only been further solidified by this latest final workout. On November 5th, at Miho Woodchip (MiW), Perriere clocked a personal best-level time of 79.4 seconds over 5 furlongs. An earlier workout on October 29th also saw him maintain pace and finish together over 5 furlongs in 81.2 seconds, demonstrating flawless progress. He is perfectly conditioned to replicate the winning pattern discovered in his previous race.

Ramjet: “Excellent Condition” Post-Korea Trip, Sharp Finish on E-Course

Ramjet, a GI-class talent who dominated the Unicorn Stakes (GIII), returns to action after his race in Korea (September 7th, 3rd place). While concerns often arise with horses returning from overseas campaigns, his trackwork data unequivocally dispels any such worries. His final workout on November 5th, conducted on Ritto E-Course (Polytrack), saw him cover 5 furlongs in 65.9 seconds, with a blistering final furlong in 11.1 seconds. As the short comment “仕上がり良好” (Excellent Condition) suggests, there’s no sign of a layoff’s sluggishness. Polytrack adjustments, known for their light surface and speed-enhancing properties, further highlight this impressive 11.1-second surge, which speaks volumes about the enduring presence of his explosive finishing kick.

Derma Sotogake: “Powerful Stride” Signals Comeback After Long Layoff

Derma Sotogake, winner of the Zen-Nippon Nisai Yushun (JpnI) and a strong performer overseas, makes his eagerly anticipated return after an 8.5-month layoff, his last race being the February Stakes (14th place) in February. In his previous outing, jockey Fuma Matsuwaka noted a “lack of concentration until reaching the straight,” pointing to mental challenges. However, his current trackwork paints a drastically different picture. His October 30th workout on Ritto Woodchip (RiCW) saw him record a stunning 52.0 seconds over 4 furlongs, with a final furlong in 11.0 seconds, earning high praise as “上々” (excellent) even when working alone. The final workout on November 5th further showcased a “力強い脚捌き” (powerful stride), as he matched strides perfectly with his workmate. This extended layoff appears to have been instrumental in resetting his mental game and physically re-strengthening him. His current movements suggest he is capable of delivering a full-throttle performance right out of the gate.

Lord Aronne: Stable Special! Trainer Shi’i Confirms “Developing Power”

Among all contenders, Lord Aronne boasts the most compelling “information-backed” narrative. He finished second to Perriere in the previous Elm Stakes. At that time, jockey Yuga Kawada praised his ability, saying, “He ran a strong race with a straightforward approach, just a step short.” This “one more step” now appears to be bridged by the benefits of his recent layoff. Highlighted as a “厩舎回り特選” (Stable Special), trainer Hirofumi Shi’i explicitly stated, “He has returned from the farm with a noticeably stronger, more powerful presence. He’s very close to taking that next step, and with a little luck, he could do it.” This robust testimony is further supported by his final workout on November 5th, where he clocked 68.1 seconds over 5 furlongs on RiCW, with the short comment “久々も力強く” (Powerful despite layoff). His proven track record, the stable’s explicit declaration of improvement, and a confirming final workout – these three data points align perfectly, making him an outstanding prospect.

【Miyako Stakes 2025】All 15 Entries: Final Trackwork Evaluation Summary Table

Below is a comprehensive summary of the final trackwork evaluations (as of November 5th) for all 15 entries. (Ratings are graded S, A+, A, B+, B, C).

Horse Name Final Workout (Date/Course) Trackwork Comment Overall Condition Rating Key Highlight Perriere 11/5 MiW Marked a good time →S Clocked 79.4s over 5F; in perfect condition. Lord Aronne 11/5 RiCW Powerful despite layoff →A+ Stable special comment: “Developed power” explicitly stated. Ramjet 11/5 RiE Excellent condition →A Final Furlong 11.1s. No concerns post-Korea. Brian Sense 11/5 MiW Better movement than last race →A Proved improvement in trackwork as stable predicted. Simon Xanadu 11/5 RiCW Maintaining good feel →A Maintains good form from last race. Still room for improvement. Derma Sotogake 11/5 RiCW Powerful stride →B+ Movement is A-class. However, due to 8.5-month layoff. Out Range 11/5 RiCW Powerful stride →B+ Proven G1-level performer (Teio Sho 2nd). Good condition. Shigeru Shogun 11/5 RiHill Sustaining good form →B+ Maintains good form after victory on 10/26. Double Heart Bond 11/5 RiHill Powerful extension ↗B+ Only horse with “↗” (improving) arrow. Notable filly. Revontulet 11/5 RiCW Strong workout completed last week →B Main workout completed 1 week prior. Smooth adjustment. Reina De Alcira 11/5 RiHill Showing agility →B “Agility” ideal for utilizing light 53kg handicap. Dura Erede 11/5 RiHill Good, despite a break →C Turf GI winner. Dirt suitability completely unknown. North Bridge 11/5 MiW Powerful stride →C 11-month layoff. Rapid improvement from “sluggish response” last week. Sunday Funday 11/5 RiHill Doesn’t work out vigorously type →C Race-fit type. Slow trackwork times are not a concern. Aerolonoa 11/5 RiHill Light movement →C 8-year-old, ~1-year layoff, Turf→Dirt – many challenges.

In-Depth Analysis: Decoding Each Horse’s Condition from Trackwork

We detail the analysis that led to the evaluations above, alongside each horse’s specific data.

【S-Rated】Unquestionably Supreme: A Solo Standout

Perriere
On November 5th, at Miho Wood (MiW), he clocked 79.4 seconds over 5 furlongs, with a final furlong in 12.0 seconds. This time is among the very best for Miho-based horses. The jockey’s comment after his Elm Stakes victory, “I felt confident from trackwork,” further reinforces that his current movement, even superior to then, is a clear sign of peak form. An undisputed S-rating.

【A+ Rated】Confirmed Improvement Backed by Stable Comments

Lord Aronne
The only “Stable Special” featured in this article. Trainer Shi’i’s comment, “He has returned from the farm with a noticeably stronger, more powerful presence,” is more than mere courtesy; it signifies concrete development. A clear step up is anticipated from his “just a step short” jockey comment after his previous second-place finish. His final workout, rated “Powerful despite layoff,” validates this testimony, earning him the top A+ rating.

【A-Rated】Asserting Strong Form for GI Aspirations

Ramjet
On November 5th, on Ritto E-Course (Polytrack), he recorded a final furlong of 11.1 seconds. This exceptionally sharp turn of foot dispels any concerns about his return from the Korean expedition. As the short comment “Excellent condition” indicates, he is in a commendable state for a horse targeting a GI race.

Brian Sense
Following his 5th place finish in the Sirius Stakes, jockey Mirai Iwata expressed some mental concerns but predicted, “He should improve from this race.” True to his word, the final workout on November 5th earned him the highest possible short comment, “Better movement than last race.” This perfect alignment of prediction and confirmation solidifies a reliable A-rating.

Simon Xanadu
He proved his heavy stakes potential with a 2nd place finish in the Sirius Stakes. Jockey Kenichi Ikezoe commented post-race, “He’s still a bit loose and has room for improvement,” indicating he wasn’t at his absolute best. This time, his final workout on November 5th received an “Maintaining good feel” rating. He is not only sustaining his excellent form from the previous race but also shows potential for further improvement.

【B+ Rated】Threatening the Top Contenders with Solid Preparation

Derma Sotogake
The quality of his movement, particularly the 11.0-second final furlong on October 30th, would otherwise merit an A or even S rating. However, considering his 8.5-month long layoff, we’ve applied a risk adjustment, placing him at a B+. If he regains his race sharpness instantly, a dominant victory would be no surprise.

Out Range
His last race was the Teio Sho (JpnI) at Ohi in July, where he finished an impressive 2nd. His track record is top-tier. His final workout on November 5th also showed “powerful stride,” demonstrating GI-worthy movement and indicating he can deliver a strong performance even after a four-month layoff.

Shigeru Shogun
Fresh off a victory in the Canopus Stakes on October 26th. Jockey Yasunari Iwata praised a new dimension in his previous race, saying, “He can now race from off the pace.” The “Sustaining good form” comment on his November 5th final workout confirms that even with a short turnaround, he shows no signs of fatigue.

Double Heart Bond
The only horse in this field whose condition arrow points “↗” (improving), which is a major highlight. As a 4-year-old filly, she benefits from a 2-3kg lighter handicap (55kg) compared to males. This improving trend and weight advantage are significant assets.

【B-Rated】Steady Progress, Not to Be Underestimated

Revontulet
The short comment for his final workout is “Strong workout completed last week.” This indicates that his strong pace-setting workout with a workmate on RiCW on October 29th, rated “sure-footed,” was effectively his final main workout. Following a classic adjustment pattern, he is deemed to be progressing smoothly.

Reina De Alcira
Victorious in her previous race on October 18th. Jockey Kanta Taguchi commented, “I was able to set my own pace from the downhill.” For a 3-year-old filly with the lightest handicap of 53kg, the “showing agility” comment on November 5th is absolutely ideal.

【C-Rated】Lingering Questions… Assessment Needed

Dura Erede
A GI winner on turf (Hopeful Stakes). His final workout, “Good, despite a break,” is not bad, but the critical question is his dirt suitability. This remains completely unknown until he races, hence the necessary C-rating.

North Bridge
Another GII winner on turf, returning from an approximately 11-month long layoff. His October 29th workout was harshly criticized as “sluggish response,” but he showed a dramatic improvement to “powerful stride” in his November 5th final workout. This extreme fluctuation makes him a wildcard, for better or worse.

Sunday Funday
His November 5th final workout on Ritto Hill, clocking 55.6 seconds with the comment “doesn’t work out vigorously type,” is ordinary. However, we must consider jockey Kazuya Kakuda’s comment from his previous race (August 30th): “He shows more enthusiasm in a race than in trackwork. He’s a race-fit type.” His unenthusiastic trackwork is normal, and it would be premature to downgrade his rating based solely on these times.

Aerolonoa
At 8 years old, returning from an approximately one-year layoff (since November 2024), and attempting his first ever dirt race, he faces too many hurdles. Even with a “light movement” final workout, there’s little to actively endorse him.

Final Thoughts: Your Winning Edge Awaits on Netkeiba

In the final trackwork on November 5th, Perriere’s undisputed “S-rating” with an impeccable time showcased a preparation that truly outshines the competition. Furthermore, Lord Aronne stands out with powerful corroboration from stable comments, while Brian Sense demonstrates predicted improvement confirmed by his jockey. GI-class talents like Ramjet and Derma Sotogake also exhibited high-quality movements, allaying any layoff concerns. Conversely, turf specialists making a dirt debut, such as Dura Erede, still present a significant unknown factor.

This article has thoroughly analyzed the condition of all 15 entries, primarily based on their November 5th final trackwork data. For our ultimate predictions, final selections, and the conclusive outcome of the ‘Miyako Stakes 2025,’ informed by these detailed trackwork evaluations, please follow the link below:

Discover our ultimate predictions, final picks, and complete Miyako Stakes 2025 conclusion here!

ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

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