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デイリー杯2歳S 2025 追い切り評価：全8頭の最終調教分析

Analysis by AI

目次

1. The 60th Daily Hai Nisai Stakes (GII): Overview and the Critical Role of Workout Evaluations

2. Top Pick: Admire Kwajis (S-Grade)

3. Final Workout Evaluation Summary for All 8 Runners

4. Full Analysis: Workout Evaluation and Previous Race Performance

   1. 1. Aigale (Jockey: Yutaka Take)
   2. 2. Admire Kwajis (Jockey: Ryusei Sakai)
   3. 3. Eishin Deed (Local) (Jockey: Rin Takasugi)
   4. 4. Cavalry (Jockey: C. Demuro)
   5. 5. Galilea (Jockey: Makoto Sugihara)
   6. 6. Candide (Jockey: Tomoyasu Kitamura)
   7. 7. Good Peace (Foreign-bred) (Jockey: Atsuya Nishimura)
   8. 8. Michael Barows (Jockey: Nozomu Iwata)

5. Conclusion: Final Verdict Based on Workout Evaluations

The 60th Daily Hai Nisai Stakes (GII): Overview and the Critical Role of Workout Evaluations

The 60th Daily Hai Nisai Stakes (GII), set for Saturday, November 15, 2025, at Kyoto Racecourse (Turf, Right-handed, Outer Course 1600m, B Course), is a pivotal event in the two-year-old mile racing circuit. For these early-career graded stakes races, the key to successful betting often lies in analyzing each horse’s “workouts” (training). Scrutinizing training times and expert commentary is essential for objectively assessing each horse’s development and current condition. This article provides an in-depth analysis and evaluation of the workout performances for all 8 prospective runners, based on official data.

Top Pick: Admire Kwajis (S-Grade)

• Evaluation: Awarded an S-grade, recognized as the “Best Workout Performance.” Condition is notably 「↗」(Improving).

• Training Details:

  • One-week before workout (Nov 5, Ritto CW, Good track): Ridden by jockey Ryusei Sakai. Covered 6F in 97.0 seconds, with a blistering final furlong of 11.2 seconds. Pushed vigorously, Admire Kwajis pursued Jun Raiden (a 1-win class older horse) from the inside, overcoming a 1.1-second deficit to finish 0.6 seconds ahead. Evaluated for its “powerful, driving action.”
  • Final workout (Nov 12, Ritto Sakaro, Good track): Ridden by an assistant. Covered 4F in 55.3 seconds, with a final furlong of 12.5 seconds. Worked effortlessly with plenty in reserve. Again, praised for its “powerful, driving action.”

• Analysis: A week prior to the race, the primary jockey rode Admire Kwajis, delivering a sensational 11.2-second final furlong that overwhelmingly beat a 1-win class older horse. The final workout followed trainer Tomomichi’s classic pattern: after a rigorous prior session, the horse was allowed to recover while reaffirming its inherent “propulsion” and balance. The consistent praise for its “powerful, driving action” and its 「↗」 (improving) condition suggests that the exceptional “finishing kick” shown in its maiden win will be even sharper on the GII stage. Its previous victory hinted that it “had not yet exerted its full power,” and the stable is confident, stating the horse is “increasingly in peak condition” and “looks highly capable in graded races.”

Final Workout Evaluation Summary for All 8 Runners

Horse Name Final Workout Short Comment Condition Aigale No signs of being overweight → Admire Kwajis Powerful, driving action ↗ Eishin Deed A horse that improves in races → Cavalry Agile movement → Galilea Excellent in race-like gallops → Candide Good form despite layoff ↗ Good Peace Crisp, rhythmic stride → Michael Barows Excellent late stretch drive →

Notably, only Admire Kwajis and Candide show a 「↗」(Improving) status, indicating significant enhancement in condition since their last starts.

Full Analysis: Workout Evaluation and Previous Race Performance

1. Aigale (Jockey: Yutaka Take)

• Workout Evaluation (B): Condition 「→」(Stable)

  • Final workout (Nov 12, Ritto CW, Good track): Ridden by an assistant. Covered half a mile from the furlong pole in 54.3 seconds, with a final furlong of 11.5 seconds. Pursued TM Pilot (a 1-win class older horse) from the inside, falling 0.2 seconds behind after a 1.5-second chase. The “pushed vigorously” effort resulting in a defeat is a negative point.

• Previous Race Analysis (Maiden race, 1st): Aigale possesses a straightforward temperament but can be high-strung. It took the lead when prompted and dictated a comfortable pace to win. In a graded race where an easy lead is unlikely, it may struggle to replicate its previous performance.

2. Admire Kwajis (Jockey: Ryusei Sakai)

• Workout Evaluation (S): Condition 「↗」(Improving)
• Analysis: Refer to the “Top Pick” section above. Assessed to be in impeccable condition.

3. Eishin Deed (Local) (Jockey: Rin Takasugi)

• Workout Evaluation (C+): Condition 「→」(Stable)

  • Final workout (Nov 12, Ritto CW, Good track): Ridden by an assistant. Covered 6F in 83.8 seconds, with a final furlong of 11.6 seconds. Pursued Chika Million (a 2-win class older horse) from the inside, falling 0.5 seconds behind after a 1.2-second chase. The “pushed vigorously” effort did not yield a strong performance. The short comment “a horse that improves in races” often indicates a horse that doesn’t show its best in training.

• Previous Race Analysis (Hakodate Nisai S, GIII, 1st): Its GIII victory is a strong credential, but in that race, it was agitated, enjoyed an uncontested lead, and drifted wide while holding on for the win. The distance extension from 1200m to 1600m and its subdued performance in training are significant concerns.

4. Cavalry (Jockey: C. Demuro)

• Workout Evaluation (B+): Condition 「→」(Stable)

  • Final workout (Nov 12, Ritto Sakaro, Good track): Ridden by an assistant. Covered 4F in 56.8 seconds, with a final furlong of 13.6 seconds. Worked effortlessly with plenty in reserve.
  • One-week before (Nov 8, Ritto CW): Pursued a 1-win class older horse, overcoming a 2.5-second deficit to finish 0.2 seconds ahead.
  • Nov 5 (Ritto Sakaro): Ridden by jockey C. Demuro, with the comment “showing good promise after a break.”

• Analysis: Cavalry has been steadily put through its paces, and the final workout comment “agile movement” suggests that the exceptional “finishing kick” it displayed in its maiden race is still intact.

5. Galilea (Jockey: Makoto Sugihara)

• Workout Evaluation (B+): Condition 「→」(Stable)

  • Final workout (Nov 12, Mi P, Good track): Ridden by an assistant. Covered 5F in 64.9 seconds, with a final furlong of 11.8 seconds. Pushed at the finish. Finished in a dead heat with Cladis Tina (a 2-year-old 1-win horse).

• Analysis: Galilea underwent race-like gallops on the Polytrack (P) course for both its one-week before and final workouts, leading to the improved comment “excellent in race-like gallops.” To address the issue of slow reaction time from its previous GIII 2nd place finish, the stable intentionally incorporated “pushed at the finish” and “race-like gallops” in the final workout to train for instant acceleration. While its condition arrow is 「→」, this intentional training suggests a meaningful “improvement” beyond a mere stable rating.

6. Candide (Jockey: Tomoyasu Kitamura)

• Workout Evaluation (A+): Condition 「↗」(Improving)

  • Final workout (Nov 12, Ritto Sakaro, Good track): Ridden by jockey Masaru Nakamura. Covered 4F in 55.1 seconds, with a final furlong of 12.1 seconds. Worked effortlessly with plenty in reserve.
  • One-week before (Nov 5, Ritto CW): Ridden by jockey Tomoyasu Kitamura. Covered 6F in 79.8 seconds, with a final furlong of 11.9 seconds. Posted an impressive time, finishing 0.5 seconds ahead of its galloping partner.

• Analysis: Alongside Admire Kwajis, Candide is the only other horse with an explicit 「↗」 evaluation, indicating it is in impeccable racing condition, as the comment “good form despite layoff” suggests. Its previous Open class victory and jockey’s comments imply that the distance extension to 1600m will be beneficial. With a clear 「↗」 in condition, Candide stands out as the prime candidate for an upset.

7. Good Peace (Foreign-bred) (Jockey: Atsuya Nishimura)

• Workout Evaluation (B): Condition 「→」(Stable)

  • Final workout (Nov 12, Ritto Sakaro, Good track): Ridden by jockey Atsuya Nishimura. Covered 4F in 56.7 seconds, with a final furlong of 12.6 seconds. Worked effortlessly twice with plenty in reserve.

• Analysis: Consistently trained on the Sakaro course, with the jockey personally confirming its feel in the final workout, praising its “crisp, rhythmic stride.” While the times are ordinary, the quality of its movement is maintained. As indicated by its 「→」 status, it is in a condition to perform at the same level as its previous race.

8. Michael Barows (Jockey: Nozomu Iwata)

• Workout Evaluation (A): Condition 「→」(Stable)

  • Final workout (Nov 12, Ritto Sakaro, Good track): Ridden by jockey Nozomu Iwata. Covered 4F in 51.9 seconds, with a final furlong of 11.9 seconds. Pushed vigorously. Finished in a dead heat with Garonne (an Open-class older horse) after pursuing it for 0.4 seconds.

• Analysis: Purely based on times, Michael Barows recorded the fastest workout of all contenders. However, the short comment a week prior noted “still a bit short of peak condition,” and it was 0.5 seconds behind a maiden horse. Therefore, it’s reasonable to interpret the “pushed vigorously” effort and matching an Open-class horse in the final workout as an “intense training regimen” to “restore” its condition to “excellent late stretch drive.” Although its status is 「→」, the intensity of its final workout justifies an A-grade evaluation.

Conclusion: Final Verdict Based on Workout Evaluations

• S-Grade: Admire Kwajis

  • Selected as the “Best Workout Performance” with an 「↗」 condition. In peak form, making it the strongest contender.

• A+-Grade: Candide

  • Also boasting an 「↗」 condition, identical to Admire Kwajis. Significant improvement from its last start and the distance extension are advantageous. The top candidate for an upset.

• A-Grade: Michael Barows

  • Despite a 「→」 condition, it recorded an impressive time in its final workout. Its turnaround with rigorous training is commendable.

• B+-Grade: Galilea

  • A proven performer with a GIII 2nd place finish. Its intentional training regimen to address previous race issues is highly encouraging.

• B+-Grade: Cavalry

  • The “agile movement” observed in its workouts reflects the “excellent finishing kick” it demonstrated in its maiden race.

The workout evaluations presented in this article serve as a crucial barometer of each horse’s condition. However, the final betting strategy should also take into account factors such as post position, track condition, and race development.

ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

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