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Categories: 速報
【2025年ミックスセール速報】キタサンブラック産駒が4.6億円！種牡馬評価の明暗を解説
Analysis by AI
October 21, 2025
The 2025 Northern Farm Mixed Sale, held on October 21, 2025, witnessed a thrilling day of bidding and dramatic shifts in stallion valuations. The standout of the day was a Kitasan Black progeny, “Delfiniya II no 2025,” which fetched an astounding record price of ¥460,000,000. While Epiphaneia’s progeny also garnered high praise, buoyed by the strong performance of his two-year-olds, Contrail and Kizuna’s offspring faced challenging market conditions, clearly delineating the current strengths and weaknesses in stallion evaluation.
目次
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Key Takeaways from the 2025 Northern Farm Mixed Sale
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Overall Trends at the 2025 Northern Farm Mixed Sale
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Record-Breaker! Kitasan Black Progeny Commands ¥460 Million
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Epiphaneia Progeny’s Soaring Market Value
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Struggling Stallions: Unexpected Market Challenges
- Contrail Progeny Faces Uphill Battle
- Kizuna Progeny Also Under Scrutiny
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Other Notable Lots and Unexpected Surprises
- Evaluating Equinox Progeny Ahead of Their Debut
- Gold Ship Progeny Delivers a ¥120 Million Surprise!
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Top-Priced Foals at the 2025 Northern Farm Mixed Sale
Key Takeaways from the 2025 Northern Farm Mixed Sale
- Kitasan Black progeny “Delfiniya II no 2025” set a new record, selling for ¥460,000,000.
- Epiphaneia progeny’s market value surged, with one selling for over ¥220,000,000, thanks to the impressive performance of his two-year-olds.
- Contrail and Kizuna progeny struggled to meet market expectations, resulting in limited high-value transactions.
- A Gold Ship progeny provided a pleasant surprise, selling for ¥120,000,000, among other unexpected high-priced lots.
Overall Trends at the 2025 Northern Farm Mixed Sale
The 2025 Northern Farm Mixed Sale was a vibrant affair, with total sales revenue surpassing the previous year’s figures. The market’s evaluation proved to be notably discerning; demand heavily concentrated on stallions with a proven track record of successful progeny, while those whose first-crop offspring showed less promising results faced considerable scrutiny. This led to a stark polarization in stallion valuations across the board.
Record-Breaker! Kitasan Black Progeny Commands ¥460 Million
The undisputed star of this year’s sale was Lot No. 10, “Delfiniya II no 2025,” a colt by Kitasan Black. Starting from a reserve price of ¥70,000,000, the bidding war escalated dramatically, culminating in an astonishing final price of ¥460,000,000 (excluding tax), secured by Louisville Racing. The colt’s full older brother, M’s Begin, who previously sold for approximately ¥650,000,000 at the Select Sale, undoubtedly contributed to this progeny’s immense reputation and propelled its price to record-breaking heights.
Epiphaneia Progeny’s Soaring Market Value
Epiphaneia, whose progeny have delivered consistently stellar performances in recent years, commanded exceptionally high valuations at this year’s sale. Leading the charge was Lot No. 1, “Carta Embracada no 2025,” a colt that sold for an impressive ¥220,000,000. Indeed, all of Epiphaneia’s offspring offered were traded at elevated prices. The robust performance of his two-year-olds and his progeny’s successes on the international stage clearly fueled buyers’ fervent interest and purchasing power.
Struggling Stallions: Unexpected Market Challenges
Popular sires attracted significant investment, yet some highly anticipated stallions saw their market evaluations falter.
Contrail Progeny Faces Uphill Battle
While Contrail’s first-crop progeny have begun to debut in two-year-old races, the market’s assessment of his offspring remained somewhat cautious. Despite the well-bred “Seabrook no 2025” selling for ¥90,000,000, it fell short of the anticipated ¥100,000,000+ mark. Other progeny also hovered around the ¥50,000,000 range, failing to achieve explosive prices. The performance of his two-year-olds in upcoming races will undoubtedly be a crucial factor in shaping his future market valuation.
Kizuna Progeny Also Under Scrutiny
Even Kizuna, a consistent fixture among the leading sires, encountered a challenging sale. None of his colts or fillies reached the ¥100,000,000 mark. Notably, the average price for his colts lagged significantly compared to other popular stallions. While “Winter Power no 2025” was acquired by Carrot Club for ¥50,000,000, some speculate this was effectively a “buy-back” by connected parties to avoid a failed sale, indicating a general lack of widespread market interest.
Other Notable Lots and Unexpected Surprises
Evaluating Equinox Progeny Ahead of Their Debut
As a highly anticipated new sire with progeny yet to debut, Equinox lived up to his hype, with “Incarville no 2025” leading the way at ¥170,000,000, contributing to several lots surpassing the ¥100,000,000 threshold. However, an overarching “wait-and-see” sentiment was also discernible among buyers, suggesting that a firm market valuation for his offspring will likely remain fluid until they begin to compete on the track.
Gold Ship Progeny Delivers a ¥120 Million Surprise!
Towards the close of the sale, a significant surprise emerged: “Rêve de la Prairie no 2025,” a colt by Gold Ship, was snapped up for an impressive ¥120,000,000. This remarkable price is believed to be a result of both the strong Northern Farm breeding brand and a re-evaluation of Gold Ship’s progeny, spurred by the recent successes of horses like Tabal.
Top-Priced Foals at the 2025 Northern Farm Mixed Sale
Rank Lot Name Sex Sire Dam Selling Price Buyer 1 デルフィニアⅡの2025 Colt キタサンブラック デルフィニアⅡ ¥460,000,000 ルイビルレーシング 2 カルタエンブルハーダの2025 Colt エピファネイア カルタエンブルハーダ ¥220,000,000 ルイビルレーシング 3 マラクージャの2025 Colt キタサンブラック マラクージャ ¥180,000,000 藤田 晋 4 インカーヴィルの2025 Colt イクイノックス インカーヴィル ¥170,000,000 阿部 雅英 5 エライヤの2025 Colt エピファネイア エライヤ ¥160,000,000 国本 哲秀 6 ラドラーダの2025 Colt スワーヴリチャード ラドラーダ ¥150,000,000 藤田 晋 7 ミスティックジャーニーの2025 Colt イクイノックス ミスティックジャーニー ¥120,000,000 坂口 直大 7 レーヴドゥラプレリの2025 Colt ゴールドシップ レーヴドゥラプレリ ¥120,000,000 今福 洋介 9 エピックラヴの2025 Colt キタサンブラック エピックラヴ ¥115,000,000 田畑 利彦 10 イリデッサの2025 Colt イクイノックス イリデッサ ¥92,000,000 鈴木 剛史
ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)
データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。
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