【2025年ネクストスター高知予想】二強対決！エンドレステイルとサンフラワームーンの評価と有力馬を徹底分析

Key Highlights for Next Star Kochi 2025

The spotlight is on the unbeaten stablemates, Endless Tail and Sunflower Moon, both from Uchikoshi Stables.
The leading challenger is Kissaki, a highly-rated transfer from the competitive Monbetsu racing circuit.
The October 4th JRA Certified Race, which featured over half of the current field, provides crucial insights for predictions.
Key jockey changes for several strong contenders could significantly impact the race dynamics.

Understanding the Next Star Kochi 2025: A Quest for Future Champions

Scheduled for October 26, 2025, at Kochi Racecourse, the “3rd Next Star Kochi” is far more than just another 2-year-old graded race. It’s a key leg of the “Future Stakes 2025” series, designed to unearth exceptional talents destined to dominate future dirt campaigns. With a lucrative winner’s prize of 10 million yen on the line, this event serves as a crucial battleground for the next generation of star prospects.

Kochi Racecourse, once on the brink of closure, has staged a remarkable resurgence thanks to the tireless efforts of its stakeholders. Its horses are now praised as “truly outstanding,” attracting avid attention from local racing fans across Japan. The very existence of this race symbolizes the incredible recovery and ongoing development of Kochi racing.

In recent years, Kochi Racecourse has significantly intensified its focus on developing young horses. Unimaginable just a few years ago, the first-place prize for a 2-year-old maiden race now stands at 500,000 yen – surpassing the former winning prize for the graded “Kin no Kura Sho.” Such aggressive investment has become a magnet, drawing well-bred and highly talented horses to Kochi. As a result, the Next Star Kochi promises to feature an exceptionally high caliber of talent this year, truly making it a race that forecasts the future of dirt racing.

Expert Predictions Revealed: The Top 5 Contenders for Next Star Kochi 2025

With a field brimming with the future stars of Kochi racing, numerous media outlets and experts are already deep into their analyses. The focus has largely centered on five prominent contenders. One specialist media outlet has issued the following predictions. Let’s delve into each horse’s potential based on these expert assessments.

PredictionPost PositionHorse Name◎ (Favorite)2エンドレステイル (Endless Tail)○ (Contender)4サンフラワームーン (Sunflower Moon)▲ (Single Arrow)6キッサキ (Kissaki)△ (Minor Place)7ジョウショーボビー (Josho Bobby)☆ (Watch Horse)12モリノカーニバル (Morino Carnival)

In-Depth Analysis: Evaluating the Top 5 Predicted Contenders

The five horses highlighted by experts each possess distinct strengths and captivating qualities. Here, we provide a thorough, horse-by-horse analysis based on past race data and stable comments.

◎ Favorite: Endless Tail

Unbeaten with one win from one start, Endless Tail enters this race as the clear favorite (◎) among experts. Her top billing stems from an absolutely dominant debut performance. In a 1300m maiden race on October 12, 2025, she seized the lead from the start and never looked back, winning by an astounding 2.8-second margin over the second-place finisher. This remarkable time was hailed by experts as “excellent,” instantly proving her exceptional speed.

Sired by Espoir City, a nine-time dirt G1 winner, her pedigree strongly indicates a high aptitude for dirt racing. Trained by Kochi’s prestigious Uchikoshi Stables, she is already being touted as “highly promising.” Furthermore, those who worked with her during her pre-training days describe her as spirited but “obedient and intelligent” to human instruction, possessing a “fearless temperament” even against larger rivals. Combining overwhelming speed, an elite dirt pedigree, and a blend of competitive spirit and intelligence, Endless Tail embodies all the qualities of a champion. Her status as the favorite appears unshakeable.

○ Contender: Sunflower Moon

Sunflower Moon, stablemate to Endless Tail and also from Uchikoshi Stables, earns the contender (○) rating. She boasts an unblemished record of two wins from two starts, surpassing Endless Tail in career victories. Her key strength lies in her ability to dictate the pace. In both her debut and second race, she seized the lead from the gate and maintained it to secure convincing victories, showcasing a commanding front-running style. Experts describe her performances as “strong,” leaving no doubt about her capacity to win if the race unfolds to her liking.

However, her evaluation comes with a caveat. Her winning time in the JRA Certified Race on September 13, despite being on a heavy track, was over three seconds slower than Endless Tail’s time recorded in her maiden race on a yielding track. This time comparison is a critical factor when assessing the absolute speed of both horses. Furthermore, the fact that Inoue Eita, one of Uchikoshi Stables’ primary jockeys, has chosen to ride Endless Tail over Sunflower Moon is telling. Considering these elements, while Sunflower Moon is an undeniably strong candidate, a slight concession may be necessary when evaluating her chances against Endless Tail in a direct confrontation.

▲ Single Arrow: Kissaki

Kissaki, a transfer from Hokkaido’s Monbetsu Racecourse, is rated as the single arrow (▲), representing the most likely challenger to upset the undefeated duo. His greatest asset is the invaluable experience gained from starting his career in Monbetsu, widely considered the most competitive circuit for 2-year-olds in Japan. Although he finished unplaced in two starts at Monbetsu, his talent blossomed upon transferring to Kochi, where he has recorded two impressive consecutive wins. He now aims to extend that momentum into this major stakes race.

Experts commend his Monbetsu background, stating, “He truly shows the quality of a Monbetsu debutant.” Having already navigated the rigorous racing conditions unfamiliar to many Kochi-bred horses, he holds a significant advantage. His transfer debut was a powerful performance on a sloppy track, winning by 0.9 seconds, and he secured another comfortable front-running victory on a heavy track in his last outing, demonstrating remarkable adaptability to track conditions. While a jockey change from regular rider Akoka Shuji to Yamazaki Masayoshi adds an element of uncertainty, Kissaki’s Monbetsu experience and current winning streak position him as a strong candidate to overcome the unbeaten favorites.

△ Minor Place: Josho Bobby

Josho Bobby, with two wins and consistent placings, earns the minor place (△) rating. His most notable performance came in the October 4th JRA Certified Race, considered a crucial prep race for this event. Among the seven horses from this race now competing here, Josho Bobby ran a strong third, finishing just 0.5 seconds behind the winner, Kusudama. This direct encounter unequivocally proves his capability as one of the top horses in this generation.

Experts note, “If he can secure a good position, he has a chance,” highlighting his strong race sense. While he may not possess an explosive burst of speed, his reliability and ability to consistently perform without major upsets make him a valuable asset for betting purposes. Should the race favor a stalking trip behind the favorites, Josho Bobby has an extremely high probability of entering the frame for a placing.

☆ Watch Horse: Morino Carnival

With only two career starts and still much untapped potential, Morino Carnival is named as a “watch horse” (☆), capable of causing an upset. After finishing second in his debut, he showed dramatic improvement in his second start, securing his maiden victory on a heavy track by 0.3 seconds. Due to his limited racing experience, much of his ability remains unknown, leading to a “divided” assessment among experts.

However, the wide outside draw he received for this race is seen as a beneficial factor, potentially allowing him to run more smoothly. Furthermore, securing Tsugane Seigo as his jockey for this race is not considered a disadvantage. If he can settle into the race flow and unleash his full potential, it would not be surprising to see him deliver a performance that challenges the top contenders. Morino Carnival is certainly a dark horse worth considering.

Complete Field Overview: Short Reviews and Data Analysis for All Runners

Beyond the top five contenders, the field features a diverse array of horses with unique qualities. Here, we present the race data and expert brief comments for the remaining seven runners.

1番シェエム (She’m)
Data: Career record of 0 wins, 2 second-place finishes. In the October 4th prep race, he finished 10th, 3.2 seconds behind the winner, Kusudama.
Expert’s Take: “Finished 5th at Kanazawa, but with a significant margin. Likely to face a tough challenge even locally.”
3番シシランマン (Shishiranman)
Data: Career record of 1 win, 1 third-place finish. In the October 4th prep race, he ran creditably to 4th, but was 2.0 seconds behind the winner.
Expert’s Take: “In the certified race, reached its limit for a placing. Needs more improvement.”
5番メイジョウエナジー (Meijo Energy)
Data: Unbeaten in four starts, with 1 second-place and 2 third-place finishes, showing consistent form.
Expert’s Take: “Yet to win, but could potentially sneak into the placings if others falter.”
8番トサノシュジンコウ (Tosano Shujinko)
Data: Career record of 2 wins. In the October 4th prep race, he finished a very close second, a mere nose behind winner Kusudama, demonstrating high ability.
Expert’s Take: “Aims to be the hero of Tosa! However, still in a stage with ample room for growth.”
9番エアロノート (Aeronaut)
Data: Career record of 1 win. Finished 6th (2.1 seconds behind the winner) in the October 4th prep race.
Expert’s Take: “After a win three starts ago, tends to falter in the stretch. Faces strong competition here.”
10番クスダマ (Kusudama)
Data: After four second-place finishes, secured his long-awaited maiden victory in the October 4th JRA Certified Race. He directly defeated many of the horses in this field.
Expert’s Take: “After consistent placings, secured a maiden win last start. The competition remains largely unchanged.”
11番バリジグリー (Bali Jiggly)
Data: Career record of 1 win. Finished 5th (2.0 seconds behind the winner) in the October 4th prep race.
Expert’s Take: “Form suggests a tough challenge. Could a wet track provide a chance?”

Key Betting Insights: Three Crucial Factors for Race Day Analysis

Beyond analyzing each horse’s individual capabilities, understanding the overall race flow is paramount. Here, we highlight three critical factors that will shape the outcome.

The Uchikoshi Stablemates: Key to Setting the Pace

The pace of the race will undoubtedly be heavily influenced by the two Uchikoshi Stables entries, Endless Tail and Sunflower Moon. Sunflower Moon has won both her career starts by leading from the front, making her a classic front-runner. Endless Tail also dominated her debut by going gate-to-wire. The crucial question is how these stablemates will strategize: will one hold back to avoid a ruinous speed duel, or will they engage in a fierce battle for the lead? Their early moves will directly impact the race plans for all other contenders. For horses like Kusudama, specifically noted by experts as facing “a tough race if they get beaten to the lead,” the early pace will be a matter of survival.

The Most Important Prep Race: A Re-run of the October 4th JRA Certified Race

Predicting 2-year-old races is inherently challenging due to limited past performances and difficulty in comparing abilities. However, this race benefits from an exceptionally reliable indicator: the JRA Certified 1400m race held on October 4th. Of the 12 horses in this field, seven – Kusudama, Tosano Shujinko, Josho Bobby, Shishiranman, Bali Jiggly, Aeronaut, and She’m – competed in that race. This means over half the field has already measured their strengths over the exact same distance as the main event. Kusudama’s victory over Tosano Shujinko by a nose, with Josho Bobby finishing third, isn’t just a historical record; it represents the most accurate snapshot of the current pecking order. While attention naturally gravitates towards the undefeated duo, accurately assessing the form of this “prep race group” will be key to successful betting.

Impact of Jockey Changes: Will the Absence of Top Riders Lead to Upsets?

Another significant focal point for this race is the jockey changes involving several top contenders. Kissaki, the formidable challenger from Monbetsu, sees a switch from regular rider Akoka Shuji, who guided him to his two Kochi victories, to Yamazaki Masayoshi. Similarly, the undefeated Sunflower Moon will be ridden by Miyagawa Minoru, replacing Yoshihara Hiroto, who was aboard for her last win. Both Akoka and Yoshihara are nationally recognized top-tier jockeys, and their absence will undoubtedly have a considerable impact on the race. How these jockey changes affect each horse’s performance remains to be seen, but they introduce a significant element of unpredictability and could very well lead to unexpected outcomes.

Conclusion: Unveiling Our Final Predictions

We have meticulously analyzed data and expert opinions for all 12 entries in the 3rd Next Star Kochi. From Uchikoshi Stables’ undefeated duo, Endless Tail and Sunflower Moon, aiming for glory, to Kissaki, leveraging his battle-hardened experience from Monbetsu, and the October 4th prep race winners Kusudama and close runner-up Tosano Shujinko – the stage is set. This race, pivotal for the future of Kochi racing, promises to be an enthralling spectacle.

Based on all this information, how will you select your key horses and build your betting strategy? Our final conclusions and professional handicappers’ ultimate picks are detailed in the link below. We encourage you to use this as a valuable reference for your own predictions.

Take the Next Step: Access Expert Picks

Check out the professionals’ final conclusions and betting selections

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【2025年ネクストスター高知 予想】二強対決！エンドレステイルとサンフラワームーンの評価と有力馬を徹底分析