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Categories: 最新レース予想

【天皇賞(秋)2025 追い切り評価】S評価は2頭！有力馬の状態を徹底分析

Analysis by AI

The prestigious Tenno Sho (Autumn) 2025 is fast approaching, and our expert AI has meticulously analyzed the final pre-race workouts for all contenders. We provide an objective assessment of each horse’s condition, graded from S (Exceptional) to C (Needs Improvement), based on a professional and data-driven perspective. Discover the true state of key contenders like the Takarazuka Kinen champion Meisho Tabaru and the formidable Brady Veig, who is eager for a comeback. This indispensable workout evaluation ranking is crucial for your betting strategy!

目次

  1. Article Highlights

  2. Overall Assessment: Track Conditions and General Workout Trends at Miho & Ritto Training Centers

  3. S-Rated: Two Contenders in Peak Condition Aiming for Glory!

    1. Meisho Tabaru: The Champion’s Flawless Preparation (Rating: S)
    2. Brady Veig: A Staggering 11.0 Seconds Proves Prior Defeat an Anomaly (Rating: S)

  4. A-Rated: Strong Contenders Primed for a Top-Tier Performance!

    1. Ho O Biscuits: Powerful Run Validates Rising Form (Rating: A+)
    2. Sol Oriens: Explosive Late Speed Reawakened at Fuchu (Rating: A)
    3. Tastiera: Strategic Adjustment Overcoming Post-International Travel (Rating: A)

  5. B-Rated: Unpredictable Outsiders and Dark Horses to Watch

  6. C-Rated: Potential Concerns from Workout Insights

Article Highlights

Watch our in-depth video analysis: Tenno Sho (Autumn) 2025 Final Workouts – Discover the two S-rated horses!

Overall Assessment: Track Conditions and General Workout Trends at Miho & Ritto Training Centers

The final workout sessions, concentrated on Wednesday, October 29th, and Thursday, October 30th, saw both the Wood Chip Course and the Sloped Course at Miho and Ritto Training Centers in “Good” condition. This favorable track condition generally allowed for fast times, setting the stage for high-level workouts befitting a G1 race, with each horse displaying intense efforts as if in a real competition.

Particularly noteworthy were the sensational movements of Meisho Tabaru, the victor of spring’s Takarazuka Kinen, and the astonishing turn of foot from Brady Veig, who showed clear signs of a remarkable recovery after a previous defeat. Ho O Biscuits also delivered a commendable performance, illustrating a steady upward trajectory in his second start post-layoff. To begin, let’s examine the comprehensive workout data for all entries to grasp the overall trends.

Horse No. Horse Name Workout Date Course Track Overall Time Last 1F Official Comment 1 Cosmo Kuranda 10/29(水) Miho坂 Good 51.9 12.1 Sure-footed 2 Urban Chic 10/29(水) Miho W Good 84.0 11.5 Improved with this workout 3 Justin Palace 10/29(水) Ritto C.W. Good – 11.8 Coat shimmering 4 Sol Oriens 10/30(木) Miho坂 Good 52.5 11.7 Strong late extension 5 Tastiera 10/29(水) Miho W Good 65.1 11.6 Aggressive workout content 6 Brady Veig 10/29(水) Miho W Good 80.8 11.0 Light-footed movement 7 Masquerade Ball 10/30(木) Miho坂 Good 53.2 11.8 Improved with this workout 8 Ho O Biscuits 10/29(水) Miho W Good 65.9 11.5 Condition improving ↗ 9 Museum Mile 10/29(水) Ritto坂 Good 53.8 12.3 Movement satisfactory 10 Ecoro Waltz 10/29(水) Ritto坂 Good 54.8 12.6 Showing good form 11 Shirankedo 10/29(水) Ritto坂 Good 56.0 12.6 Light footwork 12 Seiun Hades 10/30(木) Ritto坂 Good 53.3 11.9 Good body and movement 13 Meisho Tabaru 10/29(水) Ritto C.W. Good 68.9 11.1 Remarkably robust physique 14 Queen’s Walk 10/29(水) Ritto C.W. Good 68.8 11.3 Average time but good extension

Note: Overall times are recorded for 4 furlongs on the Sloped Course and primarily 6 or 5 furlongs on the Wood Chip Course.

S-Rated: Two Contenders in Peak Condition Aiming for Glory!

In these final Tenno Sho (Autumn) 2025 workouts, two horses stood head and shoulders above the rest, showcasing absolutely perfect preparation. They are undoubtedly the closest to claiming victory, earning our highest “S” rating.

Meisho Tabaru: The Champion’s Flawless Preparation (Rating: S)

On October 29th, Meisho Tabaru delivered a dominant final workout on the Ritto C.W. Course (Good). Starting his work from 6 furlongs, he unleashed an overwhelming burst of speed with a last 1-furlong time of 11.1 seconds. What makes this particularly impressive is that this blistering time was achieved with the jockey merely guiding him “handily,” allowing the horse to move at his own volition without strong urging. This unequivocally demonstrates the horse’s abundant natural ability and his peak physical and mental condition.

The official comment, “Remarkably robust physique,” is more than just a praise for good form; it’s the highest compliment, suggesting the horse has reached a zenith in his development as a racehorse. After winning the Takarazuka Kinen, jockey Yutaka Take commented, “We were able to maintain a perfect pace,” and “He had excellent momentum rounding the fourth corner,” emphasizing the champion’s power when he can run his own race. For a G1 winner, the key to subsequent adjustments is not necessarily further improvement, but rather maintaining peak condition. Meisho Tabaru’s effortlessly fast workout confirms he has perfectly sustained his top form, living up to his status as a reigning champion.

Brady Veig: A Staggering 11.0 Seconds Proves Prior Defeat an Anomaly (Rating: S)

Brady Veig’s final workout on October 29th at Miho W Course (Good) was nothing short of breathtaking. From an overall time of 80.8 seconds, he uncorked a phenomenal last 1-furlong sprint in a blistering 11.0 seconds. This marks the fastest lap time among all contenders in this workout, signaling a complete resurgence of the extraordinary burst of speed he inherently possesses.

The official comment, “Light-footed movement,” further confirms that this astounding time wasn’t achieved through brute force but with a supple, high-quality motion while the horse remained relaxed. This commanding performance eloquently explains his previous defeat (6th place) in the Niigata Kinen. Post-race, jockey Tsumura attributed one of the causes to “the heat,” pointing to environmental factors. This workout triumphantly vindicates that comment. With the cooler autumn weather, the effects of summer fatigue have been completely shed, allowing this G1-caliber horse to regain his true form. Ignoring Brady Veig based solely on his last race’s result would be a grave mistake; he is a formidable threat.

A-Rated: Strong Contenders Primed for a Top-Tier Performance!

While just a step behind the “S” rated pair, these horses are impeccably prepared and are very strong contenders, fully capable of challenging for the Tenno Sho (Autumn) G1 title.

Ho O Biscuits: Powerful Run Validates Rising Form (Rating: A+)

On October 29th, Ho O Biscuits clocked an excellent last 1-furlong time of 11.5 seconds on the Miho W Course (Good). He also matched his workmate, completing a highly effective and race-like training session. Of particular note is the official comment, “Condition improving,” accompanied by an upward arrow “↗,” which unequivocally signifies the stable’s confidence in his clear progress since his last race. He finished a strong second in the Mainichi Okan prior. Post-race, jockey Yasunari Iwata cited “being slow out of the gate” as a factor but highly praised his mental maturity, noting “he wasn’t fighting the bit compared to last year.” This mental growth clearly correlates with the relaxed yet sharply accelerating run seen in his workout. Now in his second start of the campaign, Ho O Biscuits appears to be hitting his peak at the perfect moment.

Sol Oriens: Explosive Late Speed Reawakened at Fuchu (Rating: A)

Sol Oriens’ workout on October 30th at Miho Sloped Course (Good) once again underscored his exceptional talent. While his overall times of 52.5 seconds for 4 furlongs and 37.2 seconds for 3 furlongs are impressive, the truly remarkable aspect is his astonishing acceleration: 23.5 seconds for the last 2 furlongs, closing with 11.7 seconds for the final furlong. This is clear proof of his ability to shift into a different gear in the latter half of the slope, further supported by the official comment, “Strong late extension.” In the Takarazuka Kinen, where he finished 6th, jockey Matsuyama commented, “He tried hard in a race where the front-runner won,” indicating the pace did not suit him. This workout suggests he is fully prepared to unleash his absolute late speed, independent of race pace, on the grand stage of Fuchu (Tokyo Racecourse). His acceleration will be his greatest weapon on Tokyo’s long straight.

Tastiera: Strategic Adjustment Overcoming Post-International Travel (Rating: A)

Tastiera recorded 65.1 seconds for 5 furlongs and 11.6 seconds for the last 1 furlong on the Miho W Course (Good) on October 29th. While he was 0.2 seconds slower than his open-class workmate, this should be interpreted as a deliberate effort to apply strong pressure. The official comment, “Aggressive workout content,” explicitly defines the intention behind this training. Rather than taking it easy, this was a rigorous session designed to fully restore his race sharpness. His proven class is undeniable, having won the Queen Elizabeth II Cup (G1) in Hong Kong. Post-race, jockey Lane remarked, “He showed a tough, long stride,” and “I have the impression he’s gotten stronger,” indicating the horse’s maturation. Adjustments after an overseas campaign are never simple, but the fact that the stable could impose such demanding training implies that the horse’s condition is robust enough to handle it, a clear sign of excellent health.

B-Rated: Unpredictable Outsiders and Dark Horses to Watch

These horses, while slightly less favored than those with higher ratings, are in good condition and possess the potential to finish in the money depending on race development. Do not underestimate them!

Cosmo Kuranda (Rating: B+): On October 29th, Cosmo Kuranda clocked 51.9 seconds for 4 furlongs and 12.1 seconds for the last 1 furlong on the Miho Sloped Course. The overall time was fast, and his powerful stride was noticeable. As the comment “Sure-footed” suggests, his preparation is proceeding smoothly. He’s ready for a comeback after an 8th-place finish in the All Comers.

Justin Palace (Rating: B+): Justin Palace’s workout on October 29th on the Ritto C.W. Course focused on the final stages, showing a sharp acceleration with 52.4 seconds for 4 furlongs and 11.8 seconds for the last 1 furlong. The comment “Coat shimmering” indicates his visual condition is excellent. His class, evident from his 3rd-place finish in the Takarazuka Kinen, means he should not be overlooked even after a break.

Urban Chic (Rating: B): On October 29th, Urban Chic recorded an excellent 11.5 seconds for the last 1 furlong on the Miho W Course. However, after a disappointing 14th-place finish in the Takarazuka Kinen, the comment “Improved with this workout” suggests he is still in the process of reaching peak form. Jockey Christophe Lemaire also scratched his head after the last race, saying “he didn’t shift gears,” so how much he can improve remains key.

Seiun Hades (Rating: B): Seiun Hades recorded 53.3 seconds for 4 furlongs and 11.9 seconds for the last 1 furlong on the Ritto Sloped Course on October 30th. His times are above average, and the comment “Good body and movement” confirms he is maintaining good form. His victory in the Epsom Cup demonstrates high suitability for the Tokyo course, making him a horse not to be underestimated.

Masquerade Ball (Rating: B): On October 30th, Masquerade Ball worked alongside Sol Oriens on the Miho Sloped Course. The comment “Improved with this workout” suggests he is nearing the condition he showed when finishing second in the Derby, but there’s still an impression he’s not quite at full perfection.

Museum Mile (Rating: B): Museum Mile’s workout on October 29th on the Ritto Sloped Course saw 53.8 seconds for 4 furlongs and 12.3 seconds for the last 1 furlong, earning a “Movement satisfactory” assessment. While this 3-year-old boasts momentum from his St. Lite Kinen win, his workout didn’t convey enough improvement to challenge for a G1 victory here.

C-Rated: Potential Concerns from Workout Insights

Based on a thorough analysis of their workouts, these horses do not appear to be in perfect condition, suggesting they may face a challenging race.

Shirankedo (Rating: C+): Shirankedo’s workout on October 29th on the Ritto Sloped Course resulted in a very underwhelming 56.0 seconds for 4 furlongs and 12.6 seconds for the last 1 furlong, especially for a G1 contender. While the official comment was a positive “Light footwork,” there’s a clear discrepancy between this and the slow time. After winning the Niigata Kinen, jockey Sakai offered high praise, calling him “explosive” and “top-level among fillies.” The significant gap between those enthusiastic comments and this lenient workout is a major concern. While the stable might have intentionally given him a light workout, the risk of underlying condition issues should be considered.

Ecoro Waltz (Rating: C): On October 29th, Ecoro Waltz recorded 54.8 seconds for 4 furlongs and 12.6 seconds for the last 1 furlong on the Ritto Sloped Course. Both his time and movement were ordinary, and the “Showing good form” comment lacks the intensity needed to suggest he could contend for a G1 victory.

Queen’s Walk (Rating: C): Queen’s Walk’s workout on October 29th on the Ritto C.W. Course showed a decent extension with a last 1-furlong time of 11.3 seconds. However, as the comment “Average time but good extension” implies, the overall content was largely uninspiring. Given the incident where she stumbled during pre-race parade and was scratched from the Niigata Kinen, any potential mental or physical repercussions must also be factored in.

ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

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