CBC賞2025【追い切り最終評価】S評価は2頭！全馬診断で浮上する衝撃の穴馬とは

Prelude: Who Will Dominate the Midsummer Sprint? Final Trackwork Reveals Each Horse’s Peak Condition

The 4th leg of the Summer Sprint Series, the G3 CBC Sho, a highly anticipated “Midsummer Speed King Decider,” is set to unfold on Sunday, August 10, 2025, over 1200m on the turf course at Chukyo Racecourse. This race is more than just a sprint stakes; its unique course layout and handicap conditions intricately combine, creating drama and excitement every year.

Firstly, the Chukyo Turf 1200m course is renowned as one of Japan’s toughest. Starting halfway down the backstretch and descending a gentle slope, the pace naturally quickens from the outset. However, the crucial turning point lies in the demanding 412.5m long homestretch, which includes a steep incline with an elevation difference of approximately 2m. The challenge is whether horses can maintain their early speed through this hill or unleash a powerful late burst. Beyond sheer sprinting ability, the course rigorously tests a horse’s power and stamina to conquer the uphill finish.

Adding to the race’s complexity is its handicap nature. Weights are assigned based on each horse’s past performance, meaning top-tier contenders carry heavier burdens, while less-accomplished horses benefit from lighter imposts. Recent CBC Sho winners highlight this trend of lighter-weighted horses claiming victory: **Love Kampu (51kg)** in 2020, **Fast Force (52kg)** in 2021, **T M Spada (48kg)** in 2022, and **Drop of Light (54kg)** in 2024. This year, the weight difference is undoubtedly poised to significantly influence the outcome.

This report focuses on the most critical element for unraveling this challenging race: the “final trackwork” (追い切り). We meticulously analyze and synthesize the vast and sometimes conflicting information from various media outlets, providing an expert diagnosis of all 18 entries’ conditions. We delve deep into their trackwork movements to assess their readiness, the intentions of their stables, and their suitability for the course. Which horses are in peak condition? Are there any over-hyped favorites to be wary of? And could there be a dark horse hiding in the odds? This definitive report offers the crucial final insights essential for your race day betting strategy.

Part 1: CBC Sho 2025 Final Trackwork Evaluation Ranking – An At-a-Glance Guide

Before diving into detailed analysis, here’s an overview of the final trackwork evaluations for all 18 runners. This ranking is a unique compilation, synthesizing clockings, movement assessments, and stable comments from various expert sources. Use it as an immediate guide to grasp each horse’s readiness and as a roadmap to the in-depth analyses that follow.

総合評価馬名調教特記S****インビンシブルパパ1週前Wコース終い10.8秒の衝撃。完璧な仕上げS****カルチャーデイCWで自己ベスト更新。心身ともにキャリアの頂点A****ジューンブレア坂路で自己ベスト。S級の動きも気性と初物尽くしが鍵A****ヤマニンアルリフラ状態は好調キープ。トップハンデ57.5kg克服が課題A****ドロップオブライト昨年の覇者が一変。1週前坂路49.8秒は復活の狼煙A****ジャスティンスカイ陣営が「これまでで一番」と絶賛。好調維持A****ベガリス坂路で自己ベスト。左回り巧者が絶好の仕上がりA****カリボール動き一変。凡走した前走から状態は明らかに上向きA****シュトラウス気性難は相変わらずも、動きはA級。能力は確かA****ミルトクレイモーCWで好ラップを刻み好調キープ。状態は前走同様A****メイショウソラフネ状態は悪くないが、前走大敗からの変わり身は疑問B****グランテスト陣営は強気も時計は地味。良馬場なら見直し可能B****ワイドラトゥール気性面に課題。最終追いで我慢できず評価下げるB****バルサムノート動きに迫力欠き、好走時との比較で見劣りB****ポッドベイダー前走時の鋭さ見られず。状態面に疑問符C****クラスペディア調教内容変更。今回は勝ち負けより今後を見据えた試走かC****テイエムリステット好走時と比べ攻め手緩やか。状態は前走並みかC****エイシンワンド良かった頃の時計が出ず、本調子には遠い印象

Part 2: S-Rated Excellence! Two Top Contenders in Peak Condition – Vying for Victory

Among a field of formidable contenders, two horses have earned the highest “S” rank in our final trackwork evaluation. Both are in the finest physical and mental condition of their careers, making them the undeniable top contenders to claim victory in this midsummer sprint showdown. Let’s thoroughly dissect their flawless preparations from multiple angles.

Invincible Papa: Decoding the “S” vs. “B” Rating Mystery – What’s the Real Story?

The trackwork evaluation for **Invincible Papa** has been starkly divided among media outlets, ranging from “S” to “B,” leaving many racing fans puzzled. One expert source cited an astonishing **10.8-second** final furlong in a 1-week-out workout on the Miho woodchip course as grounds for an “S” or even “SS” rating. Conversely, another trusted source pointed to a stiff movement and failure to change leads in the final trackwork, assigning a rather ordinary “B” rating. This very contradiction holds the key to accurately discerning this horse’s true condition.

The solution to this enigma lies in understanding the intent behind the training. Trainer Hiroshi Ito commented after the final trackwork, “Since he clocked such a fast time last week (W course = last furlong 10.8 seconds), the final uphill gallop was merely to fine-tune him.” This is a classic training pattern employed by confident stables: a demanding workout one week out followed by a lighter final tune-up. The 1-week-out **10.8-second** burst was the “main event” of his preparation, while the final trackwork (Miho uphill gallop 4 furlongs 52.3 seconds – 12.6 seconds) was purely for maintaining condition.

Judging **Invincible Papa** with a “B” solely based on the final, lighter workout is a superficial analysis that misunderstands the stable’s carefully calculated approach. Instead, this perfectly planned training regimen is a testament to the stable’s confidence. While **Invincible Papa** boasts an overwhelming record on dirt, his 4th-place finish in the Hakodate Sprint Stakes, his turf debut, proved his high-level sprinting ability. With the race now shifting to the left-handed Chukyo course, which the stable has eagerly awaited, this is truly his ideal stage. Furthermore, a plan to participate in Australia’s G1 “The Everest” in the autumn highlights the immense expectations surrounding him. With all pieces in place, **Invincible Papa** is undoubtedly central to the fight for victory.

Culture Day: Career Best Time Signifies Full Maturity and Peak Condition

The excellent form of **Culture Day**, our other “S” rated horse, is backed by objective data. The strongest evidence is her astounding time of **79.2 seconds for 6 furlongs** recorded on the Ritto CW course one week out. This is a personal best, eloquently indicating that she is currently in the finest physical condition of her career.

While a single fast clocking could be accidental, **Culture Day’s** situation is different. As multiple sources note, “her condition has been remarkably stable at a very high level since the beginning of the year.” This personal best is not an isolated event but rather the culmination of consistent excellent form since spring. It is fair to say she has truly reached her full maturity.

Similar to **Invincible Papa**, her final trackwork was a lighter adjustment, but her “light and fluid strides” were noticeable, showcasing her excellent condition even more than the clocking. While some voices question her aptitude for left-handed courses, her overwhelming good condition more than compensates for any such concerns. Her victory in the Fantasy Stakes demonstrates her inherent G1-level ability. Now, having reached her physical and mental peak, there is an extremely high probability that her full potential will finally blossom.

Part 3: A-Rated Potential! Strong Contenders Threatening the S-Rated Favorites

While the two “S” rated horses are undoubtedly central to the victory contention, several “A” rated horses, possessing both the ability and condition to challenge, are keenly eyeing an upset. Here, we’ll analyze the condition of these strong contenders who could pose a significant threat to the top-rated favorites.

June Blair: Is the “Dangerous Favorite” Label Justified? Two Traps Lurking Behind S-Grade Movement

**June Blair**, expected to be the top favorite, is a particularly intriguing entry whose evaluation is sharply divided. Her trackwork movements themselves are impeccable. On the 2nd, she clocked a personal best of **50.2 seconds** on the Ritto uphill gallop, and in her final trackwork, assistant trainer Hibino described her as “full of energy, as if she could bolt at any moment if you let go of the reins.” Her movements were indeed S-grade, and it’s no surprise that multiple media outlets gave her top ratings.

However, beneath this superb condition lie two significant traps. One is her “temperament.” While her abundant energy is a strength (“strong competitive spirit”), it also links to a weakness: “her challenging temperament remains unchanged.” This is why some media have labeled her a “dangerous favorite.” The other trap is a series of “firsts.” This will be her **first race on a left-handed course**, and she will be **partnering with jockey Yutaka Take for the first time** in a race.

Facing this challenge of “talent coexisting with risk,” the stable’s best move was to engage the legendary jockey Yutaka Take. His renowned skill in managing temperamental horses is well-known, and he might be the only rider capable of channeling her abundant energy in a positive direction. However, even with such a master, there’s no guarantee of completely controlling the two uncertain elements: a new course and a difficult temperament. Her ability and condition are S-grade, but the risks are also top-tier. Considering all factors, an “A” rating is deemed appropriate.

Yamane Al Rifla: A Hat-Trick of Wins, or the 57.5kg Wall? Trackwork Reveals the Answer

Currently on a three-race winning streak, **Yamane Al Rifla**, who claimed her first graded stakes victory in the Kitakyushu Kinen, is one of the most in-form horses right now. Her final trackwork, showcasing a sharp **11.7-second** final furlong, confirms that she maintains her excellent condition.

However, a significant hurdle stands before her: a top handicap weight of **57.5kg**. This impost could be a considerable burden, especially on the Chukyo course with its demanding uphill finish.

As the positive of “excellent trackwork” clashes with the negative of “heavy impost,” the deciding factor comes from trainer Takashi Saito’s words. He unequivocally states, “She is not a horse that will be beaten by the weight.” As evidence, he cites her past strong victories while carrying **58kg**. The stable is confident that her physical development (“her body has become solid”) has given her the strength to overcome this heavy weight. Whether her winning streak continues hinges on the accuracy of her trainer’s assessment. Her condition is “A” rated, but a battle against the handicap is inevitable.

Drop of Light: Last Year’s Champion Transforms! 1-Week-Out “49.8 Seconds” Signals Revival

After a period of poor form, last year’s champion, **Drop of Light**, is signaling a complete comeback. The clarion call was her “superb clocking” of **49.8 seconds for 4 furlongs** on the Ritto uphill gallop one week out. This time clearly indicates that she has regained her top condition.

The background to this dramatic change is largely related to her constitution. As trainer Yuichi Fukunaga stated, “She seems to like this time of year, and her condition looks good,” implying she is a typical “summer horse” that thrives in hot weather. And most importantly, she is the **defending champion** of this race, with her suitability for the Chukyo Turf 1200m course already proven.

With her favored season, preferred course, and a blazing trackwork time signaling a full recovery, while the **56kg** handicap (an increase of 2kg from last year) is by no means easy, we rate her an “A,” seeing a strong possibility for her to overcome it and achieve consecutive victories.

Other A-Rated Contenders

Justin Sky: Trainer Yasuo Tomomichi praises his condition as “the best it’s been compared to returning from previous spells.” His proven ability, having won impressively last time out with **59kg** on his back, suggests the **57.5kg** handicap is well within his capabilities. His sharp movements on the CW one week out also shine, maintaining excellent form.
Vegalis: Recorded a personal best of **51.8 seconds** on the uphill gallop one week out and clocked an **11-second range** in the final workout. His quality galloping, especially his right-handed lead typical of left-handed course specialists, is highly praised. The light handicap of **54kg** is also attractive. He is in superb condition and aiming for an upset.
Caliball: After a disappointing last race where his trackwork was a lackluster **13-second range** in the final furlong, his movements have transformed, clocking an **11-second range** in the final workout this time. He appears to have returned to a condition similar to his winning run two starts ago, making him a strong candidate for a rebound.
Strauss: While still grappling with his difficult temperament, his trackwork movements are light and agile, indicating good condition. His high ability is widely acknowledged, and if he can settle smoothly into the race, he is a significant threat to the “S” rated horses.

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